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Red40
219412.8
167519.9
880310.2
Blue19
17398.2
72379.9
884713.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552404060801004019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#19
19.90.5
22.521.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.3
red by 6.7
8847
#32
13.20.8
7.66.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Second
2194
#26
12.80.8
14.713.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End4.6
red by 3.0
7237
#40
9.90.8
10.29.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Third
8803
#33
10.20.8
10.49.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End2.7
red by 2.0
1739
#36
8.20.8
8.37.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed