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Red59
509610.2
682323.3
257413.4
Blue47
642125.9
35968.6
88029.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574020801001205947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
21.221.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.5
blue by 2.6
25.90.5
19.019.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Second
2574
#25
13.40.9
14.915.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End3.9
red by 4.0
8802
#30
9.30.8
10.611.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End5.1
Third
5096
#27
10.20.9
15.116.0
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
red by 1.6
3596
#41
8.60.8
10.411.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed