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Red62
283028.0
62239.5
206213.8
Blue85
741719.7
125923.3
70624.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4765204060801006285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#10
28.01.8
23.525.3
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
red by 3.6
706
#9
24.41.5
19.220.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End11.8
Second
2062
#22
13.81.8
11.613.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End3.4
blue by 9.5
1259
#14
23.31.5
19.521.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End3.8
Third
6223
#37
9.51.8
10.912.7
Auto4.9
Teleop0.6
End4.1
blue by 10.2
19.71.5
19.721.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned