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Red48
853119.4
478626.5
62239.5
Blue48
130613.9
509610.2
514814.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5548204060801004848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
26.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End12.5
red by 12.1
5148
#34
14.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Second
8531
#21
19.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End1.8
red by 5.5
1306
#31
13.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.8
Third
6223
#37
9.5
Auto4.9
Teleop0.6
End4.1
blue by 0.7
5096
#27
10.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed