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Red49
53717.8
17398.2
250620.2
Blue53
79004.6
319727.4
93021.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366520801004953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#18
20.20.7
15.316.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1
blue by 7.3
27.40.5
24.223.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.9
End7.7
Second
537
#15
17.80.7
14.715.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 3.8
930
#17
21.60.5
23.723.1
Auto8.3
Teleop9.4
End3.8
Third
1739
#36
8.21.2
7.89.0
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End3.7
red by 3.6
7900
#42
4.60.9
9.28.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsMissed