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Red42
219412.8
657421.6
171420.0
Blue48
206213.8
109111.6
509610.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57462040801004248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#12
21.60.7
19.919.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End6.8
red by 7.7
2062
#22
13.80.9
14.914.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Second
1714
#23
20.00.7
18.317.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
red by 8.4
1091
#24
11.60.9
16.515.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End4.6
Third
2194
#26
12.81.1
14.013.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End4.6
red by 2.6
5096
#27
10.21.0
13.512.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned