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Red43
167519.9
206213.8
642125.9
Blue32
220227.9
62239.5
66436.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64502040801004332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.0
21.220.1
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
blue by 2.0
27.92.4
26.323.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
1675
#19
19.91.0
23.222.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.2
End5.3
red by 10.3
6223
#37
9.52.7
10.98.1
Auto4.9
Teleop0.6
End4.1
Third
2062
#22
13.81.5
14.012.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End3.4
red by 7.3
6643
#38
6.62.6
11.69.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed