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Red51
283028.0
125923.3
870113.3
Blue60
53717.8
478626.5
509610.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6952204060801005160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#10
28.01.1
27.826.7
Auto8.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
red by 1.6
4786
#11
26.50.6
22.623.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.5
End12.5
Second
1259
#14
23.30.8
22.521.7
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End3.8
red by 5.5
537
#15
17.80.6
16.016.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Third
8701
#20
13.31.2
12.511.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.8
End5.1
red by 3.1
5096
#27
10.21.0
12.513.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsMissed