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Red58
638123.3
171420.0
880310.2
Blue118
173243.1
9324.3
791520.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3989020608010012014058118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.7
18.218.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End3.0
blue by 19.8
43.12.4
41.443.8
Auto12.6
Teleop23.2
End7.3
Second
1714
#23
20.00.5
17.618.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
blue by 4.3
93
#16
24.32.4
20.623.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End4.8
Third
8803
#33
10.20.7
7.48.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.8
End2.7
blue by 10.5
20.73.8
15.619.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.1
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsEarned