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Red56
173243.1
130613.9
109111.6
Blue74
220227.9
219412.8
682323.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826320401001201405674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.2
44.343.1
Auto12.6
Teleop23.2
End7.3
red by 15.2
27.90.3
25.825.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
1306
#31
13.91.6
16.514.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.8
blue by 9.4
23.30.3
22.422.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.5
Third
1091
#24
11.61.5
13.512.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End4.6
blue by 1.2
2194
#26
12.80.3
13.613.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsMissed56%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned