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Red25
79004.6
257413.4
219412.8
Blue28
130613.9
87008.3
741719.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31500204060802528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#25
13.40.5
13.312.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End3.9
blue by 6.4
19.71.1
20.319.2
Auto6.5
Teleop4.8
End8.4
Second
2194
#26
12.80.5
13.312.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End4.6
blue by 1.1
1306
#31
13.91.4
14.913.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End3.8
Third
7900
#42
4.60.5
5.14.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.9
End0.1
blue by 3.8
8700
#35
8.31.4
9.78.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed