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Red38
179214.7
72379.9
509610.2
Blue106
638123.3
9324.3
642125.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337202040608010012038106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#29
14.70.4
15.114.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.7
blue by 11.2
25.92.9
21.023.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Second
5096
#27
10.20.6
10.810.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End4.1
blue by 14.1
93
#16
24.32.9
22.125.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End4.8
Third
7237
#40
9.90.5
10.39.9
Auto4.9
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 13.5
23.33.2
19.622.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned