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Red76
9324.3
70624.4
171420.0
Blue116
220227.9
642125.9
250620.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757320406010012014076116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#9
24.40.1
24.824.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End11.8
blue by 3.5
27.91.1
26.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End7.5
Second
93
#16
24.30.1
24.624.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End4.8
blue by 1.6
25.91.1
24.125.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End8.9
Third
1714
#23
20.00.1
20.420.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
blue by 0.2
2506
#18
20.21.1
18.419.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End10.1