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Red92
277125.7
609018.5
592719.4
Blue91
360322.2
567533.1
485523.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61960501509291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#10
25.71.2
25.126.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.0
End7.2
blue by 7.4
5675
#21
33.10.4
35.335.7
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End5.7
Second
5927
#22
19.41.2
16.217.4
Auto0.6
Teleop13.1
End5.7
blue by 3.6
4855
#25
23.00.4
25.225.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End10.1
Third
6090
#20
18.51.2
20.121.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End9.6
blue by 3.7
3603
#14
22.20.4
24.925.2
Auto2.2
Teleop15.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned