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Red47
400414.6
861211.8
362038.5
Blue62
335734.1
590721.5
609018.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73830501502002503003504004762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.5
39.738.1
Auto4.4
Teleop23.0
End11.1
red by 4.5
34.11.0
33.332.3
Auto3.7
Teleop20.5
End9.9
Second
4004
#27
14.61.5
17.515.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.7
blue by 6.9
21.51.0
21.820.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End5.2
Third
8612
#18
11.81.5
12.711.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.8
End5.2
blue by 6.7
6090
#20
18.51.0
21.320.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed62%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned