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Red39
496712.3
240517.4
567533.1
Blue107
362038.5
10726.4
590721.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions748905010015020039107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#21
33.12.1
36.634.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End5.7
blue by 5.4
38.51.1
36.137.3
Auto4.4
Teleop23.0
End11.1
Second
2405
#23
17.42.1
18.916.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.3
End6.5
blue by 9.0
107
#2
26.41.1
24.625.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End7.2
Third
4967
#28
12.32.1
15.713.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End5.4
blue by 9.2
21.51.1
21.122.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned