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Red103
345218.0
207539.6
705420.3
Blue70
400414.6
485523.0
205427.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8368020406010012014010370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.8
40.642.3
Auto6.1
Teleop29.5
End4.1
red by 11.9
2054
#12
27.70.0
27.928.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End10.7
Second
7054
#19
20.31.8
19.321.0
Auto1.6
Teleop11.3
End7.5
blue by 2.8
4855
#25
23.00.0
23.323.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End10.1
Third
18.01.8
16.518.3
Auto0.7
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 3.4
4004
#27
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsEarned