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Red101
276745.4
207539.6
7423.6
Blue94
8531.5
191831.9
85816.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347705010015020010194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.4
48.948.5
Auto5.8
Teleop28.5
End11.1
red by 13.5
31.90.3
31.732.1
Auto3.1
Teleop19.5
End9.3
Second
39.60.4
43.142.7
Auto6.1
Teleop29.5
End4.1
red by 8.1
85
#5
31.50.3
31.331.7
Auto5.6
Teleop20.6
End5.2
Third
74
#16
23.60.4
27.026.6
Auto1.9
Teleop12.9
End8.8
red by 7.2
858
#26
16.40.3
16.216.6
Auto0.6
Teleop8.6
End7.2