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Red46
45617.2
68621.6
350415.1
Blue95
261437.9
999910.6
353852.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641040501502004695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#8
21.61.5
22.921.4
Auto6.8
Teleop5.6
End9.2
blue by 31.3
52.90.1
48.848.9
Auto11.9
Teleop31.5
End9.5
Second
456
#16
17.21.5
23.522.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End5.3
blue by 20.7
37.90.1
33.233.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.0
End10.3
Third
3504
#21
15.11.5
18.216.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.8
End0.3
red by 4.5
9999
#14
10.60.1
12.012.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned