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Red83
99992.5
75837.9
461354.4
Blue70
313230.5
643412.4
533113.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715501001502008370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.41.0
49.150.1
Auto13.0
Teleop27.4
End14.1
red by 23.9
30.50.8
28.129.0
Auto12.2
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Second
7583
#15
7.91.0
11.412.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 5.4
13.30.8
13.614.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End5.0
Third
9999
#13
2.51.7
3.24.9
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.3
blue by 9.9
12.40.8
11.812.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed