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Red97
461354.4
313230.5
58764.8
Blue43
71632.6
99992.5
651026.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107230501509743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.2
50.750.9
Auto13.0
Teleop27.4
End14.1
red by 27.5
26.90.4
23.924.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End10.3
Second
30.50.2
29.129.3
Auto12.2
Teleop16.2
End2.1
red by 27.9
7163
#16
2.60.4
3.94.3
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End0.8
Third
4.80.2
9.910.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.3
End0.8
red by 2.3
9999
#13
2.50.6
4.75.4
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed