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Red89
643412.4
59856.2
461354.4
Blue61
477440.0
59884.6
71632.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705301001502008961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.41.2
45.146.3
Auto13.0
Teleop27.4
End14.1
red by 14.5
40.00.6
41.642.2
Auto15.1
Teleop23.9
End0.9
Second
12.41.2
7.89.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End3.9
red by 7.8
5988
#11
4.60.6
4.24.8
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End2.4
Third
6.21.2
10.111.3
Auto4.4
Teleop1.7
End0.1
red by 3.6
7163
#16
2.60.6
6.26.8
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed