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Red4
99992.5
64324.8
75617.4
Blue76
59884.6
313230.5
477440.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1193020406080120140160476

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7561
#12
7.41.3
9.78.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.3
End2.2
blue by 32.6
40.00.6
42.241.6
Auto15.1
Teleop23.9
End0.9
Second
6432
#14
4.81.3
4.73.5
Auto3.1
Teleop0.2
End1.4
blue by 25.7
30.50.6
30.029.4
Auto12.2
Teleop16.2
End2.1
Third
9999
#13
2.52.1
8.36.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.3
blue by 2.1
5988
#11
4.60.6
4.84.2
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed