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Red33
71632.6
99992.5
313230.5
Blue2
59884.6
4739-1.4
75837.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49180406080100332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.6
29.428.7
Auto12.2
Teleop16.2
End2.1
red by 22.6
7583
#15
7.91.3
16.215.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Second
7163
#16
2.60.6
7.16.5
Auto1.7
Teleop0.0
End0.8
blue by 2.0
5988
#11
4.61.3
4.22.9
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End2.4
Third
9999
#13
2.51.1
6.25.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-0.3
End1.3
red by 3.8
4739
#10
-1.41.3
0.5-0.7
Auto0.7
Teleop-4.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed