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Red22
88446.5
477441.3
99997.3
Blue38
756112.0
313230.0
55646.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57602040801002238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.6
40.738.0
Auto13.7
Teleop25.6
End1.9
red by 11.3
30.01.4
29.327.9
Auto12.4
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
9999
#15
7.34.4
8.44.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 4.7
7561
#11
12.01.4
17.716.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Third
8844
#13
6.52.6
8.45.7
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.9
End3.4
red by 0.2
5564
#10
6.31.4
8.47.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed