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Red53
650823.4
64766.7
60359.7
Blue80
313230.0
558429.0
758318.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281040601001201405380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.4
17.819.2
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End6.3
blue by 6.6
30.00.5
27.928.4
Auto12.4
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
9.71.4
7.18.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End3.3
blue by 19.3
29.00.5
27.528.0
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End10.9
Third
6476
#14
6.71.4
3.04.4
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End3.2
blue by 11.5
18.20.5
12.913.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned