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Red24
88446.5
461343.9
598511.2
Blue64
558429.0
758318.2
650823.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616530405070802464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.92.2
35.633.4
Auto8.5
Teleop24.1
End11.2
red by 14.9
29.00.0
28.328.3
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End10.9
Second
5985
#12
11.22.2
16.013.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End1.3
blue by 12.2
23.40.0
17.517.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End6.3
Third
8844
#13
6.52.2
5.73.5
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.9
End3.4
blue by 11.7
18.20.0
14.214.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed85%Hangar oddsEarned