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Red22
64766.7
461343.9
88446.5
Blue68
650823.4
598511.2
756112.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434801020306070802268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.3
33.432.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.1
End11.2
red by 20.4
23.40.3
17.517.8
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End6.3
Second
6476
#14
6.71.3
4.33.1
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End3.2
blue by 5.3
7561
#11
12.00.3
12.512.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Third
8844
#13
6.51.3
3.52.2
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.9
End3.4
blue by 4.7
5985
#12
11.20.3
13.814.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsMissed