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Red42
99997.3
558429.0
47298.3
Blue43
758318.2
60359.7
756112.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3838203050604243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.0
27.227.2
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End10.9
red by 10.8
18.20.5
14.014.5
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.5
Second
8.30.0
8.38.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.0
blue by 3.7
7561
#11
12.00.5
13.914.5
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Third
9999
#15
7.30.0
2.42.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 2.4
9.70.5
7.27.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed