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Red93
99997.3
650823.4
461343.9
Blue57
756112.0
558429.0
533115.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596040507080909357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.92.3
36.538.8
Auto8.5
Teleop24.1
End11.2
red by 14.9
29.00.5
28.127.7
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End10.9
Second
23.42.3
19.421.8
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End6.3
red by 8.4
15.00.5
13.513.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End3.6
Third
9999
#15
7.32.6
2.04.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 4.7
7561
#11
12.00.5
14.514.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned