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Red82
64766.7
477441.3
558429.0
Blue13
598511.2
47298.3
756112.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions793302040601001201408213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.0
35.836.7
Auto13.7
Teleop25.6
End1.9
red by 29.2
7561
#11
12.01.6
14.012.4
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End2.7
Second
29.01.0
27.728.6
Auto9.1
Teleop9.0
End10.9
red by 17.8
5985
#12
11.21.6
13.812.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
6476
#14
6.71.0
4.05.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.3
End3.2
blue by 1.6
8.31.6
8.87.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned8%Hangar oddsMissed