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Red42
598511.2
650823.4
99997.3
Blue53
88446.5
60359.7
313230.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4949304060704253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
16.916.4
Auto8.8
Teleop8.3
End6.3
blue by 6.6
30.00.5
29.429.9
Auto12.4
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
5985
#12
11.20.6
23.823.2
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End1.3
red by 1.5
9.70.5
7.17.6
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End3.3
Third
9999
#15
7.31.0
10.09.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.0
End1.6
red by 0.8
8844
#13
6.50.5
9.19.6
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed