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Red73
651020.6
88756.6
558431.0
Blue43
756112.6
758314.4
603510.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6235020801001207343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.4
29.930.3
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End11.6
red by 16.6
14.40.0
14.314.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End4.7
Second
20.60.4
19.519.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End7.6
red by 8.0
12.60.0
12.512.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End3.6
Third
8875
#15
6.60.4
6.46.8
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End4.5
blue by 3.8
10.50.0
10.510.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.9