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Red42
99935.8
758314.4
756112.6
Blue28
603510.5
99965.4
651020.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30370501001502004228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.7
11.211.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End4.7
blue by 6.2
20.61.1
17.816.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End7.6
Second
12.60.7
12.713.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End3.6
red by 2.1
10.51.1
11.09.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.9
Third
9993
#12
5.81.1
3.95.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End0.7
red by 0.5
9996
#16
5.41.8
4.22.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed