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Red35
99935.8
603510.5
712815.3
Blue30
756112.6
56488.6
598513.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33341020304050603530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.30.3
16.216.5
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 1.4
13.90.2
12.812.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Second
10.50.3
9.810.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.9
blue by 2.1
12.60.2
13.313.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End3.6
Third
9993
#12
5.80.4
5.05.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End0.7
blue by 2.8
5648
#10
8.60.3
7.16.8
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed