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Red58
598513.9
758314.4
558431.0
Blue21
56488.6
603510.5
99945.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6317040801001205821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.0
30.330.3
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End11.6
red by 20.5
10.50.3
9.08.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.9
Second
14.40.0
12.512.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End4.7
red by 5.7
5648
#10
8.60.3
5.75.4
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End5.6
Third
13.90.0
11.411.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 8.4
9994
#11
5.50.3
6.66.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
27%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned27%Hangar oddsMissed