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Red70
461358.7
88756.6
99935.8
Blue15
758314.4
56488.6
99965.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8515040601001201401607015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.1
55.755.8
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End13.0
red by 44.3
14.40.4
9.28.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.4
End4.7
Second
8875
#15
6.60.1
6.56.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.1
End4.5
blue by 2.0
5648
#10
8.60.7
7.77.1
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End5.6
Third
9993
#12
5.80.2
5.96.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End0.7
red by 0.5
9996
#16
5.40.7
4.13.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed