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Red34
99935.8
558431.0
603510.5
Blue61
461358.7
712815.3
99945.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459202060801001201401603461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.8
30.930.1
Auto9.5
Teleop9.9
End11.6
blue by 27.7
58.71.4
55.854.4
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End13.0
Second
10.50.8
8.88.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.9
blue by 4.8
15.31.4
16.114.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Third
9993
#12
5.81.3
6.14.8
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End0.7
red by 0.3
9994
#11
5.52.4
6.34.0
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsMissed