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Red40
999513.7
186018.7
99905.7
Blue43
756315.3
998511.7
99716.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403302060801004043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.1
18.218.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 3.4
7563
#10
15.30.1
15.315.4
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Second
9995
#14
13.70.1
13.113.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 2.0
11.70.2
11.611.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Third
9990
#23
5.70.1
5.15.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
blue by 0.6
9971
#15
6.30.2
6.26.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End0.9