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Red26
99866.9
186018.7
99704.9
Blue42
99887.9
756315.3
99967.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36340204060802642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.5
18.518.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 3.4
7563
#10
15.30.3
16.316.6
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End4.5
Second
6.90.9
9.48.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
blue by 1.0
9988
#11
7.90.5
7.88.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End-1.4
Third
9970
#27
4.90.9
5.84.9
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
blue by 3.0
9996
#12
7.80.5
9.19.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed