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Red21
99742.6
99894.9
99887.9
Blue6
99704.9
99976.4
99905.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1235020406080216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9988
#11
7.90.1
8.38.2
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End-1.4
red by 1.5
9997
#13
6.41.2
7.46.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Second
9989
#16
4.90.1
2.52.5
Auto2.3
Teleop0.5
End2.0
blue by 0.7
9990
#23
5.71.2
4.33.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Third
9974
#22
2.60.1
2.92.8
Auto2.0
Teleop0.3
End0.3
blue by 2.2
9970
#27
4.91.2
4.93.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
4%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed