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Red12
99922.6
99866.9
99726.0
Blue37
64046.6
115617.7
69027.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13350204060801237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.90.7
8.67.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
blue by 10.8
17.70.3
17.017.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Second
9972
#21
6.00.7
5.44.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 1.9
6902
#20
7.90.3
7.37.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.1
Third
9992
#26
2.60.7
4.74.0
Auto2.6
Teleop0.5
End-0.5
blue by 3.9
6404
#17
6.60.5
7.98.5
Auto4.6
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed