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Red30
999312.2
756521.2
99887.9
Blue53
115617.7
99742.6
756719.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43402030506070803053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.2
20.018.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
red by 1.6
19.60.0
17.317.2
Auto7.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Second
12.21.7
13.712.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.3
End2.0
blue by 5.6
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
9988
#11
7.91.7
9.98.2
Auto5.3
Teleop3.9
End-1.4
red by 5.3
9974
#22
2.60.1
2.72.6
Auto2.0
Teleop0.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed