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Red45
756521.2
99967.8
99905.7
Blue16
99737.1
99873.5
99726.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27280102040504516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.7
14.815.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End9.8
red by 14.1
9973
#19
7.10.5
8.37.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
9996
#12
7.81.2
5.76.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 1.9
9972
#21
6.00.5
5.75.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Third
9990
#23
5.71.2
5.66.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.6
End2.1
red by 2.2
9987
#25
3.50.5
6.56.0
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed