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Red142
707227.7
449965.9
393759.8
Blue115
17956.7
146647.2
255632.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16814580100120160180200220240142115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.4
66.365.9
Auto17.2
Teleop41.0
End7.2
red by 9.2
179
#10
56.70.9
57.656.7
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
Second
59.80.4
60.259.8
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
red by 12.6
47.20.9
48.147.2
Auto15.3
Teleop23.8
End8.2
Third
7072
#22
27.70.4
28.127.7
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End7.7
blue by 5.0
2556
#39
32.70.9
33.632.7
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8