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Red41
931315.7
243843.5
541020.7
Blue110
328436.2
384323.2
363049.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708105010015020025041110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.7
39.437.7
Auto11.7
Teleop24.0
End7.7
blue by 6.4
49.92.4
35.337.6
Auto11.8
Teleop28.0
End10.1
Second
5410
#31
20.71.7
12.010.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End5.5
blue by 15.5
3284
#13
36.22.4
21.323.6
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
Third
9313
#42
15.71.7
15.413.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End7.6
blue by 7.5
3843
#40
23.23.9
18.021.9
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned