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Red57
877319.3
931315.7
651729.7
Blue109
174735.5
255632.7
743014.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698005010015057109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#30
29.70.6
32.531.9
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8
blue by 5.9
1747
#21
35.50.4
24.725.0
Auto11.2
Teleop16.9
End7.5
Second
8773
#46Sur
19.31.0
20.519.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 13.4
2556
#39
32.70.4
32.132.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End6.8
Third
9313
#42
15.70.6
13.212.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.9
End7.6
red by 1.4
7430
#37Sur
14.40.4
16.917.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed