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Red128
328436.2
299256.6
711124.4
Blue76
618418.7
640424.2
361643.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104705015012876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.62.0
49.551.5
Auto14.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
red by 13.2
3616
#16
43.40.4
37.838.1
Auto11.0
Teleop24.0
End8.5
Second
3284
#13
36.22.0
25.327.2
Auto7.1
Teleop22.6
End6.5
red by 11.9
6404
#20
24.20.4
17.818.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End7.1
Third
7111
#26
24.42.0
18.920.9
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End6.2
red by 5.6
6184
#44
18.70.4
14.815.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsEarned