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Red118
547261.1
651729.7
877222.7
Blue120
742828.2
682341.3
584235.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105916080120140160118120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#14
61.11.4
55.657.0
Auto14.0
Teleop39.5
End7.2
red by 19.8
41.32.2
30.232.4
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End9.0
Second
6517
#30
29.71.7
27.329.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End7.8
blue by 5.7
5842
#34
35.32.7
34.637.3
Auto10.4
Teleop19.3
End5.7
Third
8772
#27
22.72.4
13.816.2
Auto8.1
Teleop8.8
End5.8
blue by 5.5
7428
#38
28.22.2
22.024.2
Auto8.0
Teleop14.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned23%Activation oddsEarned