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Red95
877319.3
3419.3
547261.1
Blue134
393759.8
457637.4
711124.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212505015020025095134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#14
61.10.3
57.557.8
Auto14.0
Teleop39.5
End7.2
red by 1.2
59.81.4
55.256.6
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End7.5
Second
34
#47
19.30.3
16.116.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End5.0
blue by 18.1
4576
#24
37.41.4
35.336.7
Auto8.6
Teleop21.1
End7.8
Third
8773
#46
19.30.5
16.917.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End3.0
blue by 5.1
7111
#26
24.41.4
22.523.9
Auto6.1
Teleop12.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned